Thursday, June 20, 2013

Immigration bill changes the nature of immigration

I know, I know ... if you pass a bill on immigration, you should expect it to change the nature of immigration. However, this bears repeating as the current Senate Bill is a dramatic change in immigration to the US.  Wonkblog has a super analysis of this.  Here are some highlights:

  • Under the immigration bill, over the next two decades, the US would be adding around ~36M immigrants.  To put that in perspective, that's roughly the size of Canada.
  • The US would add ~5MM people over the next five years.
  • Over time, employment based programs would grow faster than family based.
  • Most of the increase does not come from high skilled labor.  Due to caps, high skilled labor does not increase all that fast.  A large part of the growth is from low skilled farm labor.
  • Illegal immigrant levels as a percentage of the population is expected to decline to the 1980s levels.
The Washington Post has another excellent infographic that shows how the composition of immigration has evolved over time.

The point is that the bill, if passed would massive expand immigration and change the nature of immigration.

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