2. The US has a long term advantage over
other developed economies as it is one of the few with a positive working age
population growth (India has an advantage here too):
3. This is not a jobless recovery. In fact, the US economy has added jobs at a
faster clip in this recession than in the 2001 recession and the 1981
recession.
4. US
wages are rising for those employed.
5. US
disposable income is up.
6. The reason it doesn't feel that great is the recession was one of the deepest in recent memory.
7. The economic recovery has been different
in different sectors with Construction, Information (IT), and Government having
seen no recovery while most other sectors in growth. Education, Health, Mining, Lodging, Leisure
and Professional Services are back to pre recession levels.
8. Employment change has hit different
professions differently, suggesting businesses are shedding non essential staff
and construction is in the doldrums.
Employment in line functions are in growth.
9. The insistence on smaller government may
be holding the economy back. As you can
see, private sector consumption is up, public sector is down.
10. Unemployment may be higher because of
the insistence on smaller government. In
fact, the Hamilton
Project notes that if the normal path of
employment growth over the 2000s persisted, there would be 1.7 million more
government jobs:
11. Educational attainment is a huge part of
the problem with unemployment, suggesting potential structural issues. For instance, the high unemployment rates are
largely driven by people with no college education:
12. 50% of the unemployed don't have any
college education, 79% have less than a bachelors qualification.
13. This problem has been getting worse
because, while good jobs for college or more have held steady, good jobs for
high school or less than high school people have been dwindling.
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